As the crypto market navigates a cautious yet optimistic phase this summer, a curious pattern has caught the attention of both seasoned analysts and moon-phase watchers alike. All eyes are now on XRP, the digital asset powering Ripple’s ecosystem, as predictions swirl around a potential price breakout timed with the upcoming Buck Moon on July 10.
Lunar Cycles and Market Moves: A Peculiar Correlation
Over the years, traders have often speculated about unusual correlations between lunar cycles and cryptocurrency price action. While it may sound like a stretch to traditional finance minds, a growing group of technical analysts suggest that certain full moons have historically coincided with momentum shifts, particularly for high-volume altcoins like XRP.
The Buck Moon, traditionally occurring in July and named after the time of year when new antlers emerge on buck deer, is viewed by some as a spiritual reset point—something that crypto bulls might metaphorically link to market rebounds.
XRP’s Technical Set-Up
XRP has been trading in a tight range, consolidating just under key resistance levels for weeks. Analysts from OneSafe.io point out the following:
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Ascending triangle pattern forming on the 4H and daily charts
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MACD and RSI divergence signaling latent bullish momentum
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Historical mid-July rallies in 2020, 2021, and 2023 that followed or aligned with full moons
This has led to growing speculation that a breakout above the $0.60–$0.65 zone could trigger a rapid rally toward the $0.80–$1.00 range, potentially aligning with the lunar event on July 10.
Moon Trading: Signal or Superstition?
Skeptics argue that any correlation between celestial events and financial markets is pure coincidence, driven by confirmation bias. However, moon-cycle analysis isn’t new. W.D. Gann, one of the most famous market theorists of the 20th century, often used planetary and lunar positions in his forecasts.
Moreover, in a sentiment-driven and speculative asset class like crypto, market psychology plays a huge role—and when a narrative catches fire, it can act as a self-fulfilling prophecy.
What to Watch for
With XRP’s legal battle with the SEC still influencing long-term valuation, short-term moves will likely be momentum-based, and technically driven. Traders are now closely monitoring:
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July 9–11: volatility window around the full moon
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Volume spikes above key resistance
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A clean close above $0.65 with confirmation
Whether the moon truly holds sway over crypto markets or not, one thing is certain: investor sentiment is charging up for a July breakout, and XRP is once again in the spotlight.