Santa Rally Could Send Bitcoin Price To $300K By X-Mas Day

Main meals:

• Bitcoin offers a long -term “Energy Law” curve, which historically leads to the highest levels of prices in previous sessions.

• The decrease in the dollar and interest cuts in the expected Federal Reserve may lead to a wider crowd, with Bitcoin as a major beneficiary.

• Instant bitcoin funds acquired 70 % of gold flows in 2025.

Bitcoin (BTC) increased by 10 % in July, reaching its new levels at 118,600 dollars, and this may be just the beginning of an equivalent decree according to the anonymous Bitcoin analyst APSK32. The analyst said that bitcoin could reach $ 258,000 if the date was repeated.

According to APSK32, the Bitcoin price movement has followed the long -term power curve trend line, a sports model that reflects the growth of the BTC SIS over time. It measures the deviation of prices from this trend line, not only in terms of dollar, but in time units, an approach known as the oceans of the time of the energy law.

analyst Make up This bitcoin more than two years ago with a little energy curve, this means that if the price remains fixed, it will take more than two years for a long -term trend line to exchange it again. APSK32 said,

“We are currently higher than 79 % of historical data using this scale. The highest 20 % is what I call” extreme greed “. These are the explosion peaks that come every four years.”

The “extreme greed” area extends from $ 112,000 to $ 258,000, a region seen during the cheerful bitcoin peaks in 2013, 2017, and 2021. The analyst notes that “if the pattern of four years lasted”, it may range between 200,000 dollars and 300,000 dollars by Christmas, before the momentum began to initially at the beginning of 2026.

Likewise, Satraj BAMBRA, CEO of Rails Perpetual Trading Platform, told Cointelegraph that two macroeconomic powers can push Bitcoin much higher in 2025. BAMBRA referred to the expanded Federal Reserve budget and expanded its range towards low interest rates, likely to be likely It responds to the new response to economic experiences from the rise in synonyms. Together, these transformations can ignite a wide gathering in the assets of risk, with Bitcoin’s willingness to benefit.

BAMBRA cited the US dollar index (DXY) that decreased less than 100 as a critical early signal for this overall axis, indicating that a wave of reductions in the rate and fresh stimulation may be followed soon. Against this background, the CEO said,

“I see Bitcoin running an equivalent in the region from $ 300,000 to $ 500,000 with two main forces.”

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Bitcoin ETF is knees on gold with risks adopting risks

The boxes on the stock exchange (ETFS) gain the ground on gold, as it picks 70 % of its net flows Environmental measurements. This strong recovery of 2025 slows begins with signals of increasing interest and confidence in Bitcoin as a legal store for value.

Bitcoin is still a Risk originsWith a moderate relationship with NASDAQ 100 over the past 12 months, in line with an average of five years. Its low association with gold and Wind highlights its unique role.

Ensuring that the feelings, the director of Global Macro, Jurien Timmer, recently Note Baton has swinging to Bitcoin. According to Timmer, the gap that narrows the Shape lineage between Bitcoin and Gold Points to BTC provides highly modified returns. The Sharpe rate evaluates the excessive amount of return provided by the assets to the level of the risks taken, and compare its performance with a risk -free standard that has been adjusted to volatility.

The graph below, based on the weekly data from 2018 to July 2025, highlights how Bitcoin (1x) is closed on Gold’s (4X). In the terms of the relative performance, the gold height is $ 20.34, while Bitcoin rose to $ 16.95.

Related: Bitcoin $ 120k expectations add fuel to ETH, Hide, UNI and SEI

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Each step includes investment and risk trading, and readers must conduct their own research when making a decision.