How could Iran respond to the U.S. attack on key nuclear sites? Its options are the ‘strategic equivalent of a suicide bombing,’ expert says

Until now, the fighting mostly participated in Iran and Israel, which fired air strikes on the Islamic Republic last week. President Donald Trump’s decision to send bombers and cruise missiles to Iran is highly escalating from the conflict and turns the United States into offensive operations, not just a defensive position to protect Israel and the American forces in the region.

Foreign Minister Abbas Aragchi He said on social media Iran “keeps all options” in defending itself.

While Trump threatened more attacks unless Iran is seeking peace, Karim Sadjadbur, an older colleague in Carnegie for international peace and Iran’s supreme expert, said that it is unlikely that the country’s leadership is likely to go on this way. But its response can also be catastrophic.

“Many Iranian revenge options are the strategic equivalent of the bombing of suicide,” he said in A. A series of posts on X. “They can hit us embassies and bases, or attack the oil facilities in the Persian Gulf, a hormone strait, or rain missiles on Israel – but the regime may not escape the reaction.”

Energy markets are preparing to suffer from a large tremor, as investors digest the effects of the American bombing of Iran, a great source of oil.

Raw prices have already increased in the wake of direct Israeli air strikes, and may rise up, depending on how Iran responded.

In the memorandum last week, George Saravilus, President of FX Research in Deutsche Bank, estimated that the worst scenario in a state of complete disruption of Iranian oil supplies and the closure of the hormone strait may send oil prices above $ 120 a barrel.

That is because the Strait of Hormuz is Critical suffocation point In the global energy trade, where the equivalent of 21 % of global petroleum fluid consumption flows, or about 21 million barrels per day, through the narrow waterway.

Iran was also exposed to the use of agents and allies in the region for revenge on its behalf, and the previous Israeli attacks paralyzed Syria, Hezbollah and Hamas.

Meanwhile, Sadjadbur noted that Iran’s revolutionary guards are a large force of 190,000 soldiers, but not homogeneous.

“Are they still getting up to our 86 -year -old clouds as their main commander, although his regional and nuclear ambitions have now ended in the tremendous failure?” He asked.

Other analysts also warned Iran of Iran’s capabilities of revenge by taking Americans as hostages or launching electronic attacks. The Houthi rebels who won Iran in Yemen before Saturday said that any American attack on Iran would lead to attacks on American ships in the region.

But the retired general of the army, Wesley Clark, who previously held the position of Supreme Commander of the Allies in Europe, told CNN that he did not believe that Iran would resort to a maximum response such as preventing the Strait of Hermoz.

Instead, some missiles may be fired in the US bases in the region or a supportive militia in Iraq to attack American forces.

“I don’t see a big response,” it predicted. “This Iranian regime is calculated. It is very careful to understand where you want to go.”

There are about 50,000 American soldiers in the region, most of which are spread through Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates, Iraq and Saudi Arabia.

At the present time, it is not yet clear that the American attacks on Iran will prove to be decisive. Sadjadpour noted that the supreme leader Ali Khounai believes that he wanders in weakening of projects and calls for more pressure.

But he also said that KHANENEI is not a “reckless gambler”, which creates tension between the survival instincts and its united instincts.

“This is an unprecedented moment in Iranian history,” Sadjadpour added. “The regime can connect – or accelerate its demise. It can prevent nuclear Iran – or speed up. Military attacks have strengthened both dictatorships (Iran 1980) and its weakening (Argentina, Milosevic).”