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The US JPMorgan Trading Office warns customers that reducing the federal reserve is widely expected on September 17th may represent a peak in the near-term risk assets instead of height-it is a result that does not spare encryption.
in Note “We have concerns that the Federal Reserve meeting on September 17, which provides a precision reduction of 25 basis points, may turn to the” sale of news “event with investors to consider the macro data, federal reaction function, selecting extended sites, rebuilding weakest companies, and participating in retail participation.”
Timing is important. The next policy meeting at the Federal Reserve continues from September 16 to 17, with a statement and a press conference scheduled for Wednesday, September 17. This calendar alone has become a position for merchants about both the size of the pieces and the tone of guidance.
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Standard Charterd, which indicates the labor market that cools much faster than expected, is now expected to the Federal Reserve Bank of 50-Basis. “The labor market data in August paved the way to reduce the rate of” causing “50 basis points at the FOMC meeting in September, similar to what happened at this time last year,” the bank said, after salary statements in the United States increased by only 22,000 in August and unemployment rate to 4.3 %.
Steve Angeland, the global head of G10FX Research at Standard Charter, is discussing the need for the federal reserve to reduce prices by 50 basis points at the September meeting and why is anything less to be a mistake in politics. https://t.co/tjqbgiytim pic.twitter.com/vp2rvusia5
Bloomberg TV (@BloBergtv) September 8, 2025
The JPMorgan office does not give up its “lower tactical bullish” position, but it urges investors to transfer insurance to this event. In addition to the recommendation that the stock investors “think” in adding or increasing exposure to gold as discount expectations, the Tyler team clarified more clear hedges of the shock of fluctuations: “We love the spread of VIX or VXX Longs calls in addition to hedging, in addition to parts of defenses.”
The macro background has already turned more complicated. The salaries barely grew in August and the previous data was reviewed, while the unemployment rate increased to the highest level in four years, which led to the hardening of expectations to reduce policy, but also raised the ghost of intimidation of growth.
Meanwhile, gold was screaming higher-printing in consecutive standards exceeding $ 3,600/Oid-where investors price the easiest policy and broader political and economic risks. These synchronous signals-employment, stronger alloys-export the reason for the lack of price reduction automatically for the “risks” of the beta.
The encryption faces the volatility test
For encryption, the two -sided reading depends on the very path. On the one hand, the same opposition that relies on the jobs that Gudd Gold Bitcoin supported modern sessions where merchants tend to the idea of the easiest money and a more soft country-the storms of risk assets and the accounts of the store alike.
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On the other hand, the mechanical motivation “below,” is likely to move around the decision, to the descent of encryption, as the removal of cross and margin historically inflated fluctuations within the day. This tension is visible in the current coverage: Bitcoin has wore a $ 112,000 region alongside price-cutting bets, yet many market monitors warn that 25BP moved in the tour-especially if it is framing as “cutting sincerity”-failed to raise a sustainable coded footnote.
It is worth noting that the cutting of “knees” 50bp, as standard rented projects, would accelerate the pressure on real returns and can weaken the dollar on the margin-conditions that tend to support bitcoin and the liquidity sensitive lashes when this step is not seen as a recession.
On the contrary, you can provide you with smaller pieces or precisely warning it “JPMORGAN”, with stocks and high beta assets such as low signs first before re -evaluating the sliding path. History is not Lodestar- The results of the strong gatherings in mid-cycle adjustments ranged from withdrawals when recession cuts-but they argue at the high fluctuations achieved around the first step.
At the time of the press, Bitcoin was traded at $ 112,739.
Distinctive image created with Dall.e, Chart from TradingView.com
The post Crypto At Risk — JPMorgan Warns Fed Cut Could Spark Crash first appeared on Investorempires.com.
