Main notes
- Legionships face midnight on a $ 1.7 trillion spending bill with predictive markets that show the possibility of closing 87 %.
- Bitcoin’s short merchants have deployed $ 1.4 billion in financial lever at $ 115,000, while markets are preparing for the potential US government financing crisis.
- BTC is trading in a wedge style near 113,871 dollars with critical resistance at $ 115,000 to determine the next directional step.
JD Vance vice president, JD VANCE, is alluded to the first US government to close 7 years in the Oval Office Squad on September 30, which sparked new risks across global markets.
According to ReutersThe lawmakers are still blocked on a “estimated” value of $ 1.7 trillion for the main agency’s operations.
The closure may cut the US government’s funding for the main federal projects that start on October 1, if the lawmakers and Democratic legislators fail to reach a timely agreement on the draft spending law, or extend it before midnight. This is expected to have a major economic impact, with decisive bureaucratic services with the lock of government offices, while non -basic workers may suffer from repetition.
Prediction markets show 87 % opportunity to close the US government Source: Calchi, September 30
Real -time data from the KALSHI prediction market platform 87 % offered closing forecasts, with a total of $ 2.5 million, as of this report.
The immediate effect was seen in the main markets with gold (SoilThe price is 0.6 % to 3,843 dollars and the heavy technology S&P 500 is 0.1 %. Meanwhile with the Dow Jones industrial average (Dji) A decrease of 0.022 %, which reflects active capital courses with the reaction of investors.
President Donald Trump threatened irreversible discounts for federal workers According to the BBC NewsInflation of uncertainty across the main markets. While bitcoin
BTC
114 dollars 415
24 hours fluctuation:
0.1 %
The maximum market:
$ 2.28
Folder. 24h:
$ 57.43 b
The price is close to the weekly framework frame about $ 114,000, which can see exposure to US financial markets that traders maintain a cautious position.
How will the Bitcoin price interact with the United States government?
Before recovery to $ 114,200 on September 30, the price of bitcoin initially recovered less than $ 113,500, and bears were deployed immediately $ 1.4 billion, as markets were settled for the impact of the imminent US government closing talks.
BTC has often gathered on safe deception bets during periods of political crisis. However, the volatile price procedures for Bitcoin and the criteria for derivatives seen on September 30 indicate expectations of mutual exposure to American markets.
Since the last government closure on December 22, 2018, cryptocurrencies have become increasingly intertwined with American financial markets and the political scene.
The 100 best companies listed in the United States carrying Bitcoin, as of September 30, 2025 | Source: bitcointreasuries
The original encrypted companies such as Coinbase and Robinhood were listed in the S&P 500 that were reinforced by a positive transformation in US encryption regulations under the current Trump system that took over in January 2025.
More importantly, Bitcointreasuries lists more than 100 public companies in the United States carrying 1,031,879 BTC on the public budget, including the largest asset manager in the world, who currently owns nearly $ 100 billion via ETF active BTC and ETH active offers.
Bitcoin short traders publish $ 1.4 billion out of a total of $ 2.4 billion at $ 115.3 thousand | Source: Coinglass
COININGLASS Filter Data BTC Short Traders reaction to the US government closing reports. As shown below, BTC active centers have increased to $ 2.4 billion with Longs Longs to $ 1.73 billion over the past 24 hours, reflecting dominant declining expectations.
A closer look at the graph shows that short traders BTC gather $ 1.4 billion of the price level of $ 115,000, which represents 58 % of the total active positions.
Since the closure of the United States government is still inaccurate, the short leverage group of $ 115,000 can limit the prospects for bitcoin recovery as traders weigh their options.
Bitcoin price expectations: Will BTC recover $ 115,000 or give in to the correction signals forward?
Bitcoin price is traded within the formation of a growing wedge on the weekly graph, and the structure is often preceded by sharp directional movements. At the current levels near 113,871 dollars, BTC presses the middle of the range, while matching the bulls and bears evenly.
In the upscale direction, the high price to size (PVT) supports about 725,550 BTC optimistic bitcoin prices, indicating that long -term capital flows are still intact. If the closure is afraid of seeking safe fuel as shown in the gold that enters the peak regions, Bitcoin Bulls can benefit from benefiting from the outbreak of higher than the upper boundaries of the escalating sphin near $ 120,000.
Bitcoin (BTC) Technical Price Analysis Source: TradingView
On the contrary, the MACD line at 4861 is heading down to the signal at 5,859 signs that fade the momentum, while the weak graph reflects the pressure of the negative side. The collapse of the support of the sorry at 105,000 dollars would confirm the rhythm deviation, which may accelerate the losses towards 95,000 dollars.
With the largest financial lever group currently at $ 115,000, this level remains decisive in the next step for Bitcoin. Rejection can confirm that there is a dominance of Haboodi, while the decisive closure over it in the coming days may lead to a short set of dominance, and the BTC price may lead to $ 120,000.
The best wallet is approaching 16.2 million dollars with the price of BTC stuck in forgetfulness
With the presence of bitcoin who weighs the opposite winds from the imminent closure of the American government, investors turn into projects at an early stage such as Best Wallet (Best), for bullish momentum.
Best Wallet (Best) is a multi -bases storage solution designed with institutional degree safety to disable the non -guardian wallet sector of $ 11 billion.
The best (best) portfolio
At the time of the press, it exceeded the best portfolio of $ 16.1 million. With less than 24 hours until the next level of the price, investors can still get the distinctive codes at $ 0.0257 through the best wallet site, to cancel the novice benefits early before its official launch.
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Slip: Coinspeaker is committed to providing unbiased and transparent reports. This article aims to provide accurate and timely information, but it should not be considered financial or investment advice. Since market conditions can change quickly, we encourage you to check your information and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content.
Ibrahim Ajibad is an experienced research analyst and has a background in supporting the various startups and financial organizations in Web3. He obtained his university degree in the economy while he is currently studying for a master’s degree in Blockchain and distributing a professor’s notebook techniques at Malta University.
The post Bitcoin Price Analysis: Short Traders Bet $1.4B Against BTC as JD Vance Hints US Govt Shutdown first appeared on Investorempires.com.
